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2026-11-13

Retrain batch 2: five new models with every known fix, against the live model

Verdict: the live model (v39) stays. On their own, two of the new models find a few more photos fully right than v39 does. But run through the full app pipeline, the one customers actually get, every new model gets fewer photos fully right than v39. The gap is larger than the luck-of-the-draw spread between retrains.

What we stacked

Every new model got all of these at once, which is the "best chance" you asked for:

The five versions:

Added on top of the clean base
B1 nothing (clean base only)
B2 sail photos with no draft stripes, so it learns not to invent lines. Only 6 photos passed a full-size check, so this is a very small dose
B3 bigger images (1280 instead of 960 pixels)
B4 a short final pass on lines you drew or approved only
B5 flipping photos upside down more often in training (half the time instead of 30%)

Results

Model on its own (raw lines, 327 test photos, "all lines right"):

Run 1 Run 2 Run 3
Live model v39 264
B1 clean base 261 260
B2 + no-stripe photos 268 268
B3 + bigger images 269 270 266
B4 + final pass on your lines 259 262
B5 + more upside-down flips 268 263

Through the full app pipeline (the same steps a customer's photo goes through), out of 327:

All lines right
Live model v39 299
B3, run 1 291 at 960 px, 285 at 1280 px
B3, run 2 (1280 px) 289
B2, run 2 291
B2, run 1 286

The verdict in three lines

  1. On their own, B3 and B2 get 2 to 6 more photos fully right than v39, but that is inside the normal run-to-run spread, so it isn't a proven gain.
  2. Through the full pipeline, v39 beats every new model by 8 to 14 photos. That gap is real: on the photos where the two disagree, v39 is right most of the time.
  3. No new model goes live, and there is no vote this time, because none of them is close enough to v39 to need one.

Next step

Our best guess, not yet tested: the pipeline's later steps (the confidence cut-off and the second model it combines lines with) were set up around v39's output, so a new model loses some of its gain there. Next, re-tune those settings for the best new model (B3) on practice photos, never the test set, and run it through the pipeline again. If it still loses, the retraining ideas tried so far are done, and the effort moves to the pipeline itself.